Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-12 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-12 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 43% | |
| 2026-01-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 58% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2024-08-18 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2024-02-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 75% | |
| 2023-11-12 | 4–4 | Draw | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2023-05-21 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2023-01-05 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2022-01-15 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2021-09-25 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2021-05-08 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2021-01-03 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 41% | |
| 2020-06-25 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2019-11-23 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2019-02-10 | 6–0 | Manchester City +6 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Manchester City 44% | |
| 2018-03-04 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2017-09-30 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2017-04-05 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2016-12-03 | 1–3 | Chelsea +2 | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2016-04-16 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2015-08-16 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 46% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 48% | |
| 2014-09-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 45% | |
| 2014-02-03 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2013-10-27 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 44% | |
| 2013-02-24 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 52% | |
| 2012-11-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 36% | |
| 2012-03-21 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2011-12-12 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2011-03-20 | 2–0 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2010-09-25 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2010-02-27 | 2–4 | Manchester City +2 | Chelsea 49% |