Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2017-04-08 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2016-12-26 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2015-02-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2014-09-27 | 2–4 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2014-03-15 | 0–2 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2013-08-31 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2010-02-06 | 2–1 | Hull +1 | Hull 39% |