Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-28 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 53% | |
| 2025-11-29 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2023-05-06 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 88% | |
| 2022-12-28 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 72% | |
| 2021-12-14 | 7–0 | Manchester City +7 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 1–2 | Leeds +1 | Manchester City 87% | |
| 2020-10-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 73% |