Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2024-10-26 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 87% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 1–4 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 76% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 83% | |
| 2022-01-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2021-03-10 | 5–2 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2020-12-19 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 49% | |
| 2020-07-05 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 84% | |
| 2018-12-30 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 66% | |
| 2018-11-04 | 6–1 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 80% | |
| 2018-05-13 | 0–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 67% | |
| 2017-11-29 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 78% | |
| 2017-04-15 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 44% | |
| 2016-10-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 55% | |
| 2016-05-01 | 4–2 | Southampton +2 | Manchester City 43% | |
| 2015-11-28 | 3–1 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2015-05-24 | 2–0 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 61% | |
| 2014-11-30 | 0–3 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 37% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 4–1 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 70% | |
| 2013-12-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 47% | |
| 2013-02-09 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Manchester City 57% | |
| 2012-08-19 | 3–2 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 70% |