Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-22 | 5–0 | Manchester City +5 | Manchester City 81% | |
| 2017-12-13 | 0–4 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 69% | |
| 2017-02-05 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 74% | |
| 2016-09-24 | 1–3 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 54% | |
| 2016-05-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2015-12-12 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 71% | |
| 2015-05-17 | 2–4 | Manchester City +2 | Manchester City 48% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 2–1 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 62% | |
| 2014-01-01 | 2–3 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 59% | |
| 2013-12-01 | 3–0 | Manchester City +3 | Manchester City 68% | |
| 2013-05-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester City 50% | |
| 2012-10-27 | 1–0 | Manchester City +1 | Manchester City 65% | |
| 2012-03-11 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Manchester City 56% | |
| 2011-08-15 | 4–0 | Manchester City +4 | Manchester City 57% |