Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-15 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 43% | |
| 2025-12-21 | 2–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 54% | |
| 2025-05-25 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Aston Villa 40% | |
| 2024-10-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 51% | |
| 2024-02-11 | 1–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Aston Villa 49% | |
| 2023-12-26 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Aston Villa 37% | |
| 2023-04-30 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 55% | |
| 2022-11-06 | 3–1 | Aston Villa +2 | Manchester Utd 43% | |
| 2022-01-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 42% | |
| 2021-09-25 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Manchester Utd 61% | |
| 2021-05-09 | 1–3 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2021-01-01 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 61% | |
| 2020-07-09 | 0–3 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2019-12-01 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 60% | |
| 2016-04-16 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 75% | |
| 2015-08-14 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 48% | |
| 2015-04-04 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 72% | |
| 2014-12-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 54% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 70% | |
| 2013-12-15 | 0–3 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2013-04-22 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 78% | |
| 2012-11-10 | 2–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 60% | |
| 2012-04-15 | 4–0 | Manchester Utd +4 | Manchester Utd 71% | |
| 2011-12-03 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 50% | |
| 2011-02-01 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 69% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Manchester Utd 48% | |
| 2010-02-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 42% |