Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-11 | 0–1 | Portsmouth +1 | Middlesbrough 59% | |
| 2025-10-04 | 1–0 | Portsmouth +1 | Portsmouth 38% | |
| 2025-01-18 | 2–1 | Portsmouth +1 | Middlesbrough 41% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 53% | |
| 2012-03-03 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Portsmouth 38% | |
| 2011-08-06 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 46% | |
| 2011-03-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Portsmouth 52% | |
| 2010-10-02 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 40% |