Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 51% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Millwall 40% | |
| 2024-04-20 | 0–1 | Millwall +1 | Sunderland 50% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Millwall 37% | |
| 2023-02-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Millwall 45% | |
| 2022-12-03 | 3–0 | Sunderland +3 | Sunderland 39% | |
| 2018-03-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Millwall 56% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Sunderland 45% |