Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 1–3 | Newcastle +2 | Newcastle 52% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 2–1 | Newcastle +1 | Newcastle 69% | |
| 2024-05-04 | 1–4 | Newcastle +3 | Newcastle 51% | |
| 2023-09-30 | 2–0 | Newcastle +2 | Newcastle 66% | |
| 2022-05-22 | 1–2 | Newcastle +1 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 1–0 | Newcastle +1 | Newcastle 41% | |
| 2021-04-11 | 1–2 | Newcastle +1 | Burnley 51% | |
| 2020-10-03 | 3–1 | Newcastle +2 | Newcastle 41% | |
| 2020-02-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Newcastle 41% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 37% | |
| 2019-02-26 | 2–0 | Newcastle +2 | Newcastle 44% | |
| 2018-11-26 | 1–2 | Newcastle +1 | Burnley 40% | |
| 2018-01-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 39% | |
| 2017-10-30 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 51% | |
| 2015-01-01 | 3–3 | Draw | Newcastle 50% | |
| 2014-12-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 38% |