Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-04 | 2–1 | Newcastle +1 | Newcastle 44% | |
| 2025-12-26 | 1–0 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 36% | |
| 2025-04-13 | 4–1 | Newcastle +3 | Newcastle 56% | |
| 2024-12-30 | 0–2 | Newcastle +2 | Newcastle 37% | |
| 2024-05-15 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 37% | |
| 2023-12-02 | 1–0 | Newcastle +1 | Newcastle 52% | |
| 2023-04-02 | 2–0 | Newcastle +2 | Manchester Utd 37% | |
| 2022-10-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 47% | |
| 2021-12-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 54% | |
| 2021-09-11 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 70% | |
| 2021-02-21 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 73% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 1–4 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 44% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 54% | |
| 2019-10-06 | 1–0 | Newcastle +1 | Manchester Utd 41% | |
| 2019-01-02 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2018-10-06 | 3–2 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 67% | |
| 2018-02-11 | 1–0 | Newcastle +1 | Manchester Utd 61% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 72% | |
| 2016-01-12 | 3–3 | Draw | Manchester Utd 49% | |
| 2015-08-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 68% | |
| 2015-03-04 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2014-12-26 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 63% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 0–4 | Manchester Utd +4 | Manchester Utd 51% | |
| 2013-12-07 | 0–1 | Newcastle +1 | Manchester Utd 69% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 4–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 72% | |
| 2012-10-07 | 0–3 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 45% | |
| 2012-01-04 | 3–0 | Newcastle +3 | Manchester Utd 49% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 62% | |
| 2011-04-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 56% | |
| 2010-08-16 | 3–0 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 63% |