Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | 1–0 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 64% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–2 | MK Dons +1 | Newport 40% | |
| 2025-04-18 | 0–0 | Draw | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 6–3 | Newport +3 | Newport 38% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 3–0 | MK Dons +3 | MK Dons 48% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Newport 39% | |
| 2019-02-23 | 2–0 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 47% | |
| 2019-02-12 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Newport 42% |