Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | 2–1 | Luton +1 | Luton 64% | |
| 2025-10-25 | 0–1 | Luton +1 | Northampton 39% | |
| 2016-04-30 | 2–0 | Northampton +2 | Northampton 58% | |
| 2015-12-12 | 3–4 | Northampton +1 | Luton 40% | |
| 2015-03-28 | 2–1 | Northampton +1 | Northampton 46% | |
| 2014-10-25 | 1–0 | Luton +1 | Luton 44% |