Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | 3–2 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 74% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 38% | |
| 2023-05-08 | 4–3 | Nottingham +1 | Nottingham 48% | |
| 2023-01-04 | 0–1 | Nottingham +1 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2012-01-14 | 0–3 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 40% | |
| 2011-09-10 | 3–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 47% |