Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | 0–4 | Notts County +4 | Accrington 38% | |
| 2026-01-01 | 0–1 | Accrington +1 | Notts County 49% | |
| 2025-01-18 | 0–3 | Notts County +3 | Notts County 38% | |
| 2024-09-07 | 2–0 | Notts County +2 | Notts County 51% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Accrington 50% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 3–1 | Notts County +2 | Notts County 37% | |
| 2018-04-02 | 1–0 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 49% | |
| 2017-08-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Notts County 42% | |
| 2017-02-04 | 2–0 | Accrington +2 | Accrington 51% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 0–2 | Accrington +2 | Notts County 43% | |
| 2016-02-23 | 3–2 | Accrington +1 | Accrington 50% | |
| 2015-08-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Notts County 50% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 0–3 | Notts County +3 | Accrington 38% |