Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-18 | 0–2 | Oxford Utd +2 | Bolton 52% | |
| 2024-03-12 | 5–0 | Bolton +5 | Bolton 54% | |
| 2023-11-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Oxford Utd 39% | |
| 2023-04-15 | 0–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 44% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 1–3 | Oxford Utd +2 | Bolton 51% | |
| 2022-02-12 | 2–3 | Bolton +1 | Oxford Utd 50% | |
| 2021-08-21 | 2–1 | Bolton +1 | Bolton 37% | |
| 2019-09-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Bolton 38% | |
| 2017-03-21 | 2–4 | Bolton +2 | Oxford Utd 40% | |
| 2016-10-01 | 0–2 | Oxford Utd +2 | Bolton 48% |