Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-18 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 57% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 3–3 | Draw | Middlesbrough 43% | |
| 2024-02-24 | 0–2 | Plymouth +2 | Middlesbrough 52% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 3–3 | Draw | Plymouth 36% | |
| 2010-04-05 | 0–2 | Middlesbrough +2 | Plymouth 40% |