Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 | 5–1 | Plymouth +4 | Millwall 39% | |
| 2024-10-23 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 47% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 1–0 | Millwall +1 | Millwall 45% | |
| 2023-10-03 | 0–2 | Millwall +2 | Plymouth 46% |