Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | 0–1 | AFC Wimbledon +1 | Port Vale 47% | |
| 2025-10-11 | 1–1 | Draw | AFC Wimbledon 43% | |
| 2025-04-26 | 0–2 | Port Vale +2 | AFC Wimbledon 42% | |
| 2024-10-26 | 3–2 | Port Vale +1 | Port Vale 44% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 2–0 | Port Vale +2 | Port Vale 40% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 4–0 | AFC Wimbledon +4 | AFC Wimbledon 45% | |
| 2013-02-05 | 3–0 | Port Vale +3 | Port Vale 62% | |
| 2013-01-24 | 2–2 | Draw | Port Vale 45% | |
| 2012-01-14 | 1–2 | AFC Wimbledon +1 | Port Vale 53% | |
| 2011-09-03 | 3–2 | AFC Wimbledon +1 | AFC Wimbledon 37% |