Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Luton 39% | |
| 2025-12-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Luton 54% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 4–0 | Port Vale +4 | Luton 40% | |
| 2017-09-12 | 2–0 | Luton +2 | Luton 44% |