Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-27 | 0–2 | Burton +2 | Rochdale 46% | |
| 2020-10-20 | 0–1 | Rochdale +1 | Burton 43% | |
| 2019-12-21 | 3–1 | Burton +2 | Burton 51% | |
| 2019-01-05 | 0–4 | Burton +4 | Burton 36% | |
| 2018-08-04 | 1–2 | Rochdale +1 | Burton 49% | |
| 2016-01-30 | 2–1 | Rochdale +1 | Rochdale 37% | |
| 2015-09-12 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 41% | |
| 2014-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Rochdale 48% | |
| 2013-08-10 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 46% | |
| 2012-12-26 | 3–2 | Burton +1 | Burton 44% | |
| 2012-09-08 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Rochdale 49% | |
| 2010-05-01 | 1–2 | Burton +1 | Rochdale 48% |