Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-09 | 0–3 | Rochdale +3 | MK Dons 56% | |
| 2021-02-09 | 1–4 | MK Dons +3 | Rochdale 38% | |
| 2020-01-28 | 2–1 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 41% | |
| 2019-10-22 | 2–0 | Rochdale +2 | Rochdale 47% | |
| 2018-02-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Rochdale 53% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 3–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2017-03-11 | 2–2 | Draw | MK Dons 44% | |
| 2016-08-20 | 0–1 | MK Dons +1 | Rochdale 40% | |
| 2015-04-25 | 2–3 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 43% | |
| 2014-11-25 | 2–2 | Draw | MK Dons 53% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 1–2 | MK Dons +1 | MK Dons 54% | |
| 2011-11-05 | 3–1 | MK Dons +2 | MK Dons 58% | |
| 2011-03-05 | 1–4 | MK Dons +3 | Rochdale 43% | |
| 2010-09-18 | 1–1 | Draw | MK Dons 49% |