Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-13 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 37% | |
| 2023-08-05 | 4–1 | Stoke +3 | Stoke 44% | |
| 2022-12-26 | 2–2 | Draw | Rotherham 38% | |
| 2022-10-18 | 0–1 | Rotherham +1 | Stoke 51% | |
| 2021-01-19 | 3–3 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 54% | |
| 2019-04-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 58% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 45% |