Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 40% | |
| 2025-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Birmingham 37% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 49% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 3–4 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 52% | |
| 2023-10-28 | 3–1 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 58% | |
| 2012-02-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Birmingham 53% | |
| 2011-09-18 | 4–1 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 42% |