Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | 1–2 | Southampton +1 | Coventry 51% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 36% | |
| 2024-04-09 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 50% | |
| 2023-12-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 37% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 4–0 | Southampton +4 | Southampton 65% | |
| 2011-11-05 | 2–4 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 41% |