Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-11 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 55% | |
| 2025-10-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 37% | |
| 2012-02-18 | 4–0 | Southampton +4 | Southampton 54% | |
| 2011-10-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Derby 38% |