Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-25 | 0–1 | Stevenage +1 | Stevenage 38% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 2–0 | Stevenage +2 | Stevenage 52% | |
| 2021-12-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Swindon 59% | |
| 2021-09-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Stevenage 38% | |
| 2019-10-22 | 1–0 | Swindon +1 | Swindon 45% | |
| 2019-03-12 | 2–0 | Stevenage +2 | Stevenage 41% | |
| 2018-11-27 | 3–2 | Swindon +1 | Swindon 43% | |
| 2018-01-30 | 0–1 | Swindon +1 | Stevenage 41% | |
| 2017-09-16 | 3–2 | Swindon +1 | Swindon 46% | |
| 2014-01-14 | 2–0 | Stevenage +2 | Swindon 37% | |
| 2013-08-10 | 1–0 | Swindon +1 | Swindon 47% | |
| 2013-04-20 | 3–0 | Swindon +3 | Swindon 59% | |
| 2012-10-27 | 0–4 | Swindon +4 | Stevenage 47% |