Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2025-01-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Burnley 68% | |
| 2024-11-30 | 0–2 | Burnley +2 | Burnley 45% | |
| 2022-12-30 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 51% | |
| 2022-10-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 64% | |
| 2018-04-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Burnley 45% | |
| 2017-12-12 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 56% | |
| 2017-04-04 | 1–0 | Burnley +1 | Burnley 41% | |
| 2016-12-03 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 47% | |
| 2015-05-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 1–2 | Burnley +1 | Stoke 53% | |
| 2010-03-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Stoke 37% |