Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 65% | |
| 2025-08-16 | 0–3 | Stoke +3 | Sheffield Wed 48% | |
| 2025-04-18 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 41% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 2–0 | Sheffield Wed +2 | Sheffield Wed 49% | |
| 2024-04-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Sheffield Wed 43% | |
| 2023-12-09 | 0–1 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Stoke 54% | |
| 2021-02-16 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 52% | |
| 2020-11-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2019-12-26 | 3–2 | Stoke +1 | Sheffield Wed 41% | |
| 2019-10-22 | 1–0 | Sheffield Wed +1 | Sheffield Wed 52% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 44% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Stoke 38% |