Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Watford 47% | |
| 2026-03-14 | 3–1 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 40% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 38% | |
| 2024-08-17 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 46% | |
| 2023-12-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 50% | |
| 2023-08-19 | 1–0 | Stoke +1 | Stoke 43% | |
| 2023-05-08 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 42% | |
| 2022-10-02 | 0–4 | Watford +4 | Stoke 43% | |
| 2021-01-22 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 45% | |
| 2020-11-04 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 63% | |
| 2018-01-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Stoke 39% | |
| 2017-10-28 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Watford 52% | |
| 2017-01-03 | 2–0 | Stoke +2 | Stoke 45% | |
| 2016-11-27 | 0–1 | Stoke +1 | Watford 48% | |
| 2016-03-19 | 1–2 | Stoke +1 | Watford 43% | |
| 2015-10-24 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Stoke 51% |