Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-01 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-06 | 2–2 | Draw | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2025-08-09 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2024-08-10 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 2–0 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 51% | |
| 2023-12-16 | 1–2 | Middlesbrough +1 | Swansea 43% | |
| 2023-03-11 | 1–3 | Middlesbrough +2 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2022-08-27 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 45% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 45% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 1–0 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 37% | |
| 2021-03-06 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 57% | |
| 2020-12-02 | 2–1 | Middlesbrough +1 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 0–3 | Swansea +3 | Middlesbrough 39% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 3–1 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 53% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 3–1 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 52% | |
| 2018-09-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Middlesbrough 38% | |
| 2017-04-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 42% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 3–0 | Middlesbrough +3 | Middlesbrough 47% | |
| 2011-02-12 | 3–4 | Swansea +1 | Middlesbrough 36% | |
| 2010-11-14 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 54% | |
| 2010-01-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Middlesbrough 43% |