Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Oxford Utd 43% | |
| 2025-12-06 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 43% | |
| 2025-05-03 | 3–3 | Draw | Swansea 51% | |
| 2024-11-02 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Oxford Utd 42% |