Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-01 | 2–0 | Swansea +2 | Swansea 49% | |
| 2026-01-31 | 0–2 | Swansea +2 | Watford 49% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 44% | |
| 2025-03-12 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 48% | |
| 2024-11-05 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Swansea 40% | |
| 2024-03-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 44% | |
| 2023-10-24 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Swansea 49% | |
| 2022-12-30 | 4–0 | Swansea +4 | Swansea 41% | |
| 2022-10-05 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Watford 48% | |
| 2021-05-08 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 58% | |
| 2021-01-02 | 2–1 | Swansea +1 | Watford 39% | |
| 2017-12-30 | 1–2 | Swansea +1 | Watford 53% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Swansea 41% | |
| 2017-04-15 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 52% | |
| 2016-10-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Swansea 39% | |
| 2016-01-18 | 1–0 | Swansea +1 | Watford 36% | |
| 2015-09-12 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 37% | |
| 2011-03-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Swansea 52% | |
| 2010-09-28 | 2–3 | Swansea +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2010-03-09 | 0–1 | Swansea +1 | Watford 39% |