Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-04-05 | 2–1 | Burton +1 | Burton 53% | |
| 2020-09-26 | 4–2 | Swindon +2 | Swindon 37% | |
| 2015-12-28 | 1–0 | Burton +1 | Burton 53% | |
| 2015-09-19 | 0–1 | Burton +1 | Swindon 44% | |
| 2012-02-28 | 2–0 | Swindon +2 | Swindon 68% | |
| 2011-09-17 | 2–0 | Burton +2 | Burton 38% |