Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | 2–3 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 56% | |
| 2021-11-07 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2020-07-26 | 3–2 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 59% | |
| 2019-09-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Arsenal 43% | |
| 2019-04-15 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 39% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 2–0 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 52% | |
| 2018-03-11 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 58% | |
| 2017-10-14 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Arsenal 44% | |
| 2017-01-31 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Arsenal 74% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 1–3 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 42% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 4–0 | Arsenal +4 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2015-10-17 | 0–3 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 49% |