Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-28 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-21 | 2–0 | Watford +2 | Watford 40% | |
| 2025-11-22 | 2–3 | Watford +1 | Derby 46% | |
| 2025-01-18 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Derby 38% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 51% | |
| 2021-02-19 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 71% | |
| 2020-10-16 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 57% | |
| 2015-04-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Derby 44% | |
| 2014-11-22 | 1–2 | Derby +1 | Watford 36% | |
| 2014-04-26 | 4–2 | Derby +2 | Derby 50% | |
| 2013-10-19 | 2–3 | Derby +1 | Watford 52% | |
| 2013-02-23 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 56% | |
| 2012-09-01 | 5–1 | Derby +4 | Derby 43% | |
| 2012-03-10 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Derby 44% | |
| 2011-08-13 | 0–1 | Derby +1 | Watford 47% | |
| 2011-01-15 | 3–0 | Watford +3 | Watford 52% | |
| 2010-10-30 | 4–1 | Derby +3 | Derby 43% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 2–0 | Derby +2 | Derby 45% |