Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-11 | 0–0 | Draw | Everton 40% | |
| 2021-10-23 | 2–5 | Watford +3 | Everton 54% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 2–3 | Everton +1 | Watford 38% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 1–0 | Everton +1 | Everton 50% | |
| 2019-02-09 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 50% | |
| 2018-12-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Everton 46% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 43% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 3–2 | Everton +1 | Everton 39% | |
| 2017-05-12 | 1–0 | Everton +1 | Everton 61% | |
| 2016-12-10 | 3–2 | Watford +1 | Watford 40% | |
| 2016-04-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 37% | |
| 2015-08-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Everton 49% |