Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | 2–0 | Oxford Utd +2 | Oxford Utd 38% | |
| 2025-10-04 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2025-03-15 | 1–0 | Oxford Utd +1 | Watford 37% | |
| 2024-11-08 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 51% |