Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-16 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2026-02-07 | 1–0 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 49% | |
| 2025-08-30 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 38% | |
| 2024-04-13 | 3–2 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 61% | |
| 2023-12-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 37% | |
| 2022-03-13 | 1–2 | Watford +1 | Southampton 58% | |
| 2021-10-30 | 0–1 | Southampton +1 | Watford 46% | |
| 2020-06-28 | 1–3 | Southampton +2 | Watford 44% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 2–1 | Southampton +1 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2019-04-23 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 54% | |
| 2018-11-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Watford 37% | |
| 2018-01-13 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 46% | |
| 2017-09-09 | 0–2 | Watford +2 | Southampton 44% | |
| 2017-03-04 | 3–4 | Southampton +1 | Watford 38% | |
| 2016-08-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Southampton 53% | |
| 2016-01-13 | 2–0 | Southampton +2 | Southampton 42% | |
| 2015-08-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Watford 42% | |
| 2012-02-25 | 0–3 | Southampton +3 | Southampton 38% | |
| 2011-10-01 | 4–0 | Southampton +4 | Southampton 50% |