Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Sunderland 55% | |
| 2024-09-28 | 2–1 | Watford +1 | Watford 42% | |
| 2024-04-27 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 45% | |
| 2023-10-04 | 2–0 | Sunderland +2 | Sunderland 52% | |
| 2023-04-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Sunderland 49% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 48% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 1–0 | Watford +1 | Watford 49% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 1–0 | Sunderland +1 | Sunderland 39% | |
| 2016-05-15 | 2–2 | Draw | Watford 42% | |
| 2015-12-12 | 0–1 | Watford +1 | Sunderland 38% |