Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-02-09 | 4–1 | Chelsea +3 | Chelsea 64% | |
| 2012-08-19 | 0–2 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 41% | |
| 2012-04-07 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 70% | |
| 2011-12-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 54% | |
| 2011-04-09 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 67% | |
| 2010-08-21 | 0–6 | Chelsea +6 | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2010-05-09 | 8–0 | Chelsea +8 | Chelsea 69% |