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Final Score: Birmingham 1–1 Derby
League Two
Fri, Dec 26, 2025 · 12:30 PM GMT

Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 42% chance to win.

8-5-9 · Rating 1650
Form: LDLLW
VS
8-7-7 · Rating 1620
Form: DWDLL
Model Probability
42%
31%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatDerby
22Games played22
1.4Avg goals scored1.4
1.3Avg goals conceded1.4
36% / 23% / 41%Win / Draw / Loss36% / 32% / 32%
60% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatDerby
4All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals2.0
Last meeting (2022-01-30): Derby 2–2 Birmingham