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Final Score: Manchester Utd 1–0 Newcastle
League Two
Fri, Dec 26, 2025 · 8:00 PM GMT

Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 36% chance to win.

7-5-5 · Rating 1941
Form: LDWDW
VS
6-5-6 · Rating 1916
Form: DLWDW
Model Probability
36%
36%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatNewcastle
17Games played17
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.3
41% / 29% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss35% / 29% / 35%
50% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatNewcastle
14All-time wins (28 meetings, 6 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-04-13): Newcastle 4–1 Manchester Utd