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Final Score: Millwall 1–0 Derby
League Two
Tue, Mar 10, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Millwall has a 50% chance to win.

19-8-9 · Rating 1662
Form: WWWLW
VS
15-9-12 · Rating 1620
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatDerby
36Games played36
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
1.1Avg goals conceded1.3
53% / 22% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss42% / 25% / 33%
56% Home win % / Away win % 47%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatDerby
9All-time wins (23 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-12-10): Derby 1–1 Millwall