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League Two
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability

Cheltenham has a 43% chance to win.

3-3-1 · Rating 1203
Form: DWDWD
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1209
Form: WWDDL
Model Probability
43%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.8%5.8%22.1%2.3%
If Win 10.0%10.0%30.7%1.3%
If Draw 4.9%4.9%25.4%2.6%
If Lose 3.8%3.8%18.8%3.5%

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.4%5.4%24.4%2.1%
If Win 7.4%7.4%29.8%1.0%
If Draw 4.5%4.5%23.9%2.5%
If Lose 3.0%3.0%18.5%3.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CheltenhamStatChesterfield
7Games played7
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.1
43% / 43% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CheltenhamStatChesterfield
3All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-03): Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham