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League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Colchester vs Exeter Prediction & Win Probability

Colchester has a 40% chance to win.

2-3-2 · Rating 1195
Form: DDLLW
VS
1-3-3 · Rating 1228
Form: DLDDL
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Exeter

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.5%3.5%17.8%4.1%
If Win 5.6%5.6%24.1%2.1%
If Draw 3.5%3.5%17.5%4.4%
If Lose 2.4%2.4%13.7%6.8%

Colchester

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.9%1.9%10.0%8.4%
If Win 2.2%2.2%14.1%5.3%
If Draw 1.5%1.5%9.8%8.3%
If Lose <1%<1%7.0%12.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ColchesterStatExeter
7Games played7
1.1Avg goals scored0.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.7
29% / 43% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 43% / 43%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ColchesterStatExeter
5All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)9
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.3Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2022-04-15): Exeter 2–0 Colchester