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League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 45% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatStoke
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.5
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatStoke
4All-time wins (12 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Derby 2–0 Stoke