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League Two
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Sunderland has a 37% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatNewcastle
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored1.8
2.0Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatNewcastle
8All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland