Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 1–0 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 86% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 0–2 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2024-02-17 | 0–5 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 65% | |
| 2023-11-11 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 76% | |
| 2022-01-23 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 69% | |
| 2021-09-18 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 44% | |
| 2021-03-06 | 1–1 | Draw | Arsenal 45% | |
| 2020-12-13 | 0–1 | Burnley +1 | Arsenal 61% | |
| 2020-02-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Arsenal 43% | |
| 2019-08-17 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 62% | |
| 2019-05-12 | 1–3 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 50% | |
| 2018-12-22 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 72% | |
| 2018-05-06 | 5–0 | Arsenal +5 | Arsenal 53% | |
| 2017-11-26 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 39% | |
| 2017-01-22 | 2–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 69% | |
| 2016-10-02 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 50% | |
| 2015-04-11 | 0–1 | Arsenal +1 | Arsenal 63% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 3–0 | Arsenal +3 | Arsenal 69% | |
| 2010-03-06 | 3–1 | Arsenal +2 | Arsenal 54% |