Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-01 | 0–1 | Brentford +1 | Aston Villa 59% | |
| 2025-08-23 | 1–0 | Brentford +1 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 0–1 | Aston Villa +1 | Brentford 38% | |
| 2024-12-04 | 3–1 | Aston Villa +2 | Aston Villa 48% | |
| 2024-04-06 | 3–3 | Draw | Aston Villa 61% | |
| 2023-12-17 | 1–2 | Aston Villa +1 | Aston Villa 41% | |
| 2023-04-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Brentford 40% | |
| 2022-10-23 | 4–0 | Aston Villa +4 | Aston Villa 38% | |
| 2022-01-02 | 2–1 | Brentford +1 | Brentford 41% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 44% | |
| 2019-02-13 | 1–0 | Brentford +1 | Brentford 41% | |
| 2018-08-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Aston Villa 50% | |
| 2017-12-26 | 2–1 | Brentford +1 | Brentford 42% | |
| 2017-09-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Aston Villa 46% | |
| 2017-01-31 | 3–0 | Brentford +3 | Brentford 41% | |
| 2016-09-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Aston Villa 43% |