Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-31 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-18 | 0–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2025-09-20 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Chelsea 40% | |
| 2025-05-16 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2024-11-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 36% | |
| 2024-04-04 | 4–3 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 43% | |
| 2023-12-06 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2023-05-25 | 4–1 | Manchester Utd +3 | Manchester Utd 59% | |
| 2022-10-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 55% | |
| 2022-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2021-11-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 57% | |
| 2021-02-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Chelsea 42% | |
| 2020-10-24 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 47% | |
| 2020-02-17 | 0–2 | Manchester Utd +2 | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2019-08-11 | 4–0 | Manchester Utd +4 | Manchester Utd 39% | |
| 2019-04-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Manchester Utd 43% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Chelsea 50% | |
| 2018-02-25 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 46% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 45% | |
| 2017-04-16 | 2–0 | Manchester Utd +2 | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2016-10-23 | 4–0 | Chelsea +4 | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2016-02-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 47% | |
| 2015-12-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 43% | |
| 2015-04-18 | 1–0 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 52% | |
| 2014-10-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Chelsea 44% | |
| 2014-01-19 | 3–1 | Chelsea +2 | Chelsea 46% | |
| 2013-08-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Manchester Utd 51% | |
| 2013-05-05 | 0–1 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester Utd 58% | |
| 2012-10-28 | 2–3 | Manchester Utd +1 | Chelsea 38% | |
| 2012-02-05 | 3–3 | Draw | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2011-09-18 | 3–1 | Manchester Utd +2 | Manchester Utd 53% | |
| 2011-05-08 | 2–1 | Manchester Utd +1 | Manchester Utd 51% | |
| 2011-03-01 | 2–1 | Chelsea +1 | Chelsea 37% | |
| 2010-04-03 | 1–2 | Chelsea +1 | Manchester Utd 47% |